{"id":26977,"date":"2015-09-15T16:13:04","date_gmt":"2015-09-15T07:13:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joicfp.or.jp\/jp\/?p=26977"},"modified":"2016-02-03T13:40:45","modified_gmt":"2016-02-03T04:40:45","slug":"%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%a3%e5%95%8f%e9%a1%8c%e5%8d%94%e8%ad%b0%e4%bc%9a%e3%83%bb%e6%98%8e%e7%9f%b3%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6%e4%bc%9a-%e3%80%80%e5%9b%bd%e9%80%a3%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%a3%e6%8e%a8-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joicfp.or.jp\/jpn\/2015\/09\/15\/26977\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4eba\u53e3\u554f\u984c\u5354\u8b70\u4f1a\u30fb\u660e\u77f3\u7814\u7a76\u4f1a \u3000\u56fd\u9023\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u63a8\u8a08\u3092\u3069\u3046\u8aad\u3080\u304b \u2015\u56fd\u9023\u4eba\u53e3\u90e8\u300c\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\uff082015\u5e74\u7248\uff09\u300d\u2015\uff08\u5f8c\u7de8\uff09"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uff13\uff0e\u4eba\u53e3\u8ee2\u63db\uff0d\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4f4e\u4e0b\u304c\u6c7a\u3081\u624b<\/h3>\n

\u4e16\u754c\u30fb\u9014\u4e0a\u5730\u57df\u306e\u4eba\u53e3\u5897\u52a0\u304c\u6e1b\u901f\u3057\u3001\u9ad8\u9f62\u5316\u304c\u59cb\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3001\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u304c\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u5f8c\u767a\u9014\u4e0a\u8af8\u56fd\u30fb\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u4eba\u53e3\u5897\u52a0\u306e\u52e2\u3044\u304c\u5f37\u304f\u3001\u5b50\u3069\u3082\u30fb\u82e5\u8005\u4eba\u53e3\u304c\u591a\u3044\u306e\u306f\u4eca\u306a\u304a\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u305f\u3081\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56f3\u886813. \u4e16\u754c\u306e\u5408\u8a08\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u306e\u63a8\u79fb<\/h5>\n
    \n
  1. \u4e16\u754c\u30fb\u9014\u4e0a\u5730\u57df\u306e\u5408\u8a08\u51fa\u751f\u7387\uff08TFR\uff09\u306f1960\u5e74\u4ee3\u5f8c\u534a\u3092\u5883\u306b\u3057\u3066\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u30012010\uff0d15\u5e74\u306e\u5404\u30052.51\u30682.65\u307e\u3067\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/li>\n
  2. \u5148\u9032\u5730\u57df\u306f\u4eba\u53e3\u7f6e\u63db\u6c34\u6e96\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306eTFR\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u5f8c\u767a\u9014\u4e0a\u8af8\u56fd\u306e\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u306f\u4f4e\u4e0b\u304c\u9045\u304f\u3001\u4eca\u65e5\u306a\u304a4.27\u306e\u9ad8\u3055\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
    \u958b\u767a\u6c34\u6e96\u5225<\/h6>\n

    \"\"<\/p>\n

    Source: \u56f3\u88681\u3068\u540c\u3058\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u4e3b\u8981\u5730\u57df\u5225\u306e\u5408\u8a08\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u306e\u63a8\u79fb<\/h6>\n
      \n
    1. \u5730\u57df\u5225\u306b\u306f\u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u3001\u30e9\u7c73\u306eTFR\u306f\u9806\u8abf\u306b\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306eTFR\u306f\u306a\u304a4.71\u306e\u9ad8\u3055\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n
    2. \u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u306f\u6771\u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u306e\u4f4e\u4e0b\u304c\u6025\u6fc0\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u552f\u4e00\u4eba\u53e3\u7f6e\u63db\u6c34\u6e96\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
      \u51fa\u751f\u7387\u306e\u591a\u69d8\u6027\uff083\u3064\u306e\u30b0\u30eb\u30fc\u30d7\uff09<\/h6>\n
        \n
      1. \u4f4e\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u56fd\uff08TFR\uff1c2.1\uff09\uff0d\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u306e46%\uff1a\u5168\u30e8\u30fc\u30ed\u30c3\u30d1\u30fb\u5317\u7c73\u3001\u30a2\u30b8\u30a220\u30ab\u56fd\u3001\u30e9\u7c7317\u30ab\u56fd\u3001\u30aa\u30bb\u30a2\u30cb\u30a23\u30ab\u56fd\u3001\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab1\u30ab\u56fd<\/li>\n
      2. \u4e2d\u9593\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u56fd\uff082.1\u2266TFR\u22665.0\uff09\uff0d\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u306e46%\uff1a132\u30ab\u56fd\uff08\u5927\u56fd\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u30cd\u30b7\u30a2\u3001\u30d1\u30ad\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u3001\u30d0\u30f3\u30b0\u30e9\u30c7\u30b7\u30e5\u3001\u30e1\u30ad\u30b7\u30b3\u3001\u30d5\u30a3\u30ea\u30d4\u30f3\uff09<\/li>\n
      3. \u9ad8\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u56fd\uff085.0\uff1cTFR\uff09\uff0d\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u306e9%\uff1a21\u30ab\u56fd\u4e2d\u3001\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab19\u3001\u30a2\u30b8\u30a22<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
        \u56f3\u886814\uff0e\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u9ad8\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u56fd\u3068\u4f4e\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u56fd\u306e\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u30c6\u30f3\uff1a2010-15\u5e74<\/h5>\n
          \n
        1. \u73fe\u5728\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u9ad8\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u56fd\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u30c6\u30f3\u306f9\u30ab\u56fd\u304c\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002\u6700\u9ad8\u306eTFR\u306f\u30cb\u30b8\u30a7\u30fc\u30eb\u306e7.63\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n
        2. \u4f4e\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u56fd\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u30c6\u30f3\u306f\u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u306e5\u30ab\u56fd\u3068\u30e8\u30fc\u30ed\u30c3\u30d1\u306e5\u30ab\u56fd\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u6700\u4f4e\u306eTFR\u306f\u53f0\u6e7e\u306a\u3069\u306e1.07\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

          \"201508akashi_slide14\"<\/p>\n

          \u4e16\u754c\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\uff08\u7537\u5973\u8fbc\u307f\uff09\u306e\u63a8\u79fb<\/h6>\n

          \u4e16\u754c\u306a\u3089\u3073\u306b\u9014\u4e0a\u5730\u57df\uff08\u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u30fb\u30e9\u7c73\u304c\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff09\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u306f\u9806\u8abf\u306b\u4f38\u3073\u3001\u3044\u305a\u308c\u30e8\u30fc\u30ed\u30c3\u30d1\u30fb\u5317\u7c73\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u304f\u304c\u3001\u5f8c\u767a\u9014\u4e0a\u5730\u57df\u30fb\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u306e\u4f38\u3073\u306f90\u5e74\u4ee3\u306b\u505c\u6ede\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

          \u56f3\u886815\uff0e\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u9ad8\u5bff\u547d\u56fd\u3068\u4f4e\u5bff\u547d\u56fd\u306e\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u30c6\u30f3\uff1a2010\uff5e15<\/h5>\n
            \n
          1. \u4eca\u65e5\u3001\u9ad8\u5bff\u547d\u56fd\u306e\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u30c6\u30f3\u306f\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\uff08\u7537\u5973\u8fbc\u307f\uff09\u304c80\u5e74\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n
          2. \u4eca\u65e5\u3001\u4f4e\u5bff\u547d\u56fd\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u30c6\u30f3\u306f\u3059\u3079\u3066\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u304c55\u5e74\u672a\u6e80\u3067\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306b\u5c5e\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n
          3. \u4eca\u65e5\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u306f68.7\u5e74\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

            \"201508akashi_slide15_2\"<\/p>\n

            \u56f3\u886816\uff0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u3068\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u4eba\u53e3\u8ee2\u63db\uff1a\u5408\u8a08\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u3068\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u306e\u63a8\u79fb<\/h5>\n
              \n
            1. \u4e2d\u56fd\u306e\u4eba\u53e3\u304c\u3084\u304c\u3066\u6e1b\u5c11\u3092\u958b\u59cb\u3057\u3001\u6025\u901f\u306a\u9ad8\u9f62\u5316\u304c\u9032\u3080\u306e\u306f\u3001\u6025\u901f\u306a\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3092\u7d4c\u9a13\u30571990\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u964dTFR\u304c\u4eba\u53e3\u7f6e\u63db\u6c34\u6e96\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n
            2. \u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u306f\u306a\u304a70\u5e74\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308a\u3001TFR\u4f4e\u4e0b\u306f\u7de9\u3084\u304b\u3067\u3001\u4eca\u3067\u3082\u7f6e\u63db\u6c34\u6e96\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u3001\u4eca\u306a\u304a\u5b50\u3069\u3082\u4eba\u53e3\u306e\u5272\u5408\u304c\u9ad8\u304f\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c50\u5e74\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4eba\u53e3\u5897\u52a0\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

              \"\"<\/p>\n

              Source: \u56f3\u88681\u3068\u540c\u3058\u3002<\/p>\n

              \uff14\uff0e\u8fd1\u5e74\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u63a8\u8a08\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u7406\u7531<\/h3>\n

              \uff081\uff09\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u306e\u63a8\u8a08\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b<\/h4>\n
                \n
              1. \u56fd\u9023\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u306e\u63a8\u8a08\u5024\u306f\u3001\u300c1990\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u307e\u3067\u306f\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u3001\u305d\u306e\u63a8\u8a08\u3067\u306f\u30012050\u5e74\u3067100\u5104\u4eba\u30012100\u5e74\u3067110\u5104\u4eba\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u3068\u63a8\u8a08\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002<\/li>\n
              2. \u3057\u304b\u3057\u300c1990\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u4ee5\u964d\u306f\u3001\u4e0b\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u304c\u7d9a\u304d\u3001\u300c2002\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3067\u306f2100\u5e74\u3067\u308290\u5104\u4eba\u3068\u63a8\u8a08\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002
                \n\u3053\u306e\u6642\u671f\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u5897\u52a0\u306e\u7d42\u7109\u8aac\uff08IIASA\uff08\u56fd\u969b\u5fdc\u7528\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u5206\u6790\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff09: W. Lutz\uff09\u304c\u5531\u3048\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3002<\/li>\n
              3. \u3068\u3053\u308d\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u63a8\u8a08\u3067\u306f\u518d\u3073\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u306e\uff622015\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3067\u306f\u3001\u518d\u30732050\u5e74\u306b100\u5104\u4eba\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u304d\u30012100\u5e74\u306b\u306f110\u5104\u4eba\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u3068\u63a8\u8a08\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u305d\u306e\u7406\u7531\u306f\uff1f<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                \u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u63a8\u8a08\u306f1951\u5e74\u304b\u3089\u56fd\u9023\u304c\u6570\u5e74\u304a\u304d\u306b\u5b9f\u65bd\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u307b\u304b\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u9280\u884c\u3001IIASA\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u30bb\u30f3\u30b5\u30b9\u5c40\u304c\u72ec\u81ea\u306e\u63a8\u8a08\u3092\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u8a73\u7d30\u306f\u3001\u963f\u85e4\u8aa0\u300e\u73fe\u4ee3\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u300f\u65e5\u672c\u8a55\u8ad6\u793e2000\u5e74\uff1bUnited Nations Population Division, World Bank, US Census Bureau \u306e\u5404homepage; W. Lutz et al., The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century, Earthscan, 2004\u3000\u3092\u53c2\u7167\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3060\u304d\u305f\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

                \uff082\uff09\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u63a8\u8a08\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u306e\u4e3b\u306a\u7406\u7531\uff1a\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4f4e\u4e0b\u306e\u505c\u6ede<\/h4>\n
                  \n
                1. \u3044\u307e\u300c1998\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\uff08\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e360\u5104\u3092\u767a\u8868\u3057\u305f\u63a8\u8a08\uff09\u3001\u300c2010\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\uff08\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e370\u5104\u3092\u767a\u8868\u3057\u305f\u63a8\u8a08\uff09\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u306e\uff622015\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u306e\u63a8\u8a08\u5024\u3092\u6bd4\u3079\u308b\u3068\u3001\u3044\u305a\u308c\u306e\u5e74\u6b21\u3067\u3082\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u63a8\u8a08\u307b\u3069\u63a8\u8a08\u5024\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304f\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n
                2. \u3053\u3053\u3067\u300c98\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3001\u300c10\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u306e\uff6215\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u306e\u4eba\u53e3\u52d5\u614b\u306e\u4eee\u5b9a\u5024\u3092\u6bd4\u3079\u3066\u898b\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u51fa\u751f\u7387\uff08TFR\uff09\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306f\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306b\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5206\u304b\u308b\u3002\uff08\u305f\u3068\u3048\u3070\u30012020~25\u5e74\u306eTFR\u306f\u300c98\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3067\u306f2.23\u3067\u3042\u308b\u306e\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3001\uff6210\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3067\u306f2.33\u3001\u300c15\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3067\u306f2.43\u3068\u30010.2\u9ad8\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\uff09
                  \n\u305d\u308c\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u306e\u6539\u5584\u50be\u5411\u306f\u300c98\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3068 \uff6210\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3067\u306f\u5909\u5316\u304c\u5c0f\u3055\u3044\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\uff6215\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3067\u306f\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u304c\u307f\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002(\u4f8b\u3048\u30702020~25\u5e74\u306e\u5bff\u547d\u306f\u3001\uff6298\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\uff63\u3067\u306f71.9\u5e74\u3001\uff6215\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\uff63\u3067\u306f72.7\u5e74\u3068\u30010.8\u5e74\u4f38\u3073\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n
                3. \u4ee5\u4e0a\u304b\u3089\u3001(a)2000\u5e74\u4ee3\u30012010\u5e74\u4ee3\u306b\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u306e\u4f4e\u4e0b\u304c90\u5e74\u4ee3\u306b\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u307b\u3069\u6025\u901f\u306b\u9032\u884c\u3057\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\uff08\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4f4e\u4e0b\u304c\u3084\u3084\u505c\u6ede\u3057\u305f\uff09\u3053\u3068\u304c\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u306e\u4e3b\u306a\u7406\u7531\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001(b)\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u304c\u60f3\u5b9a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u4f38\u3073\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306f\u526f\u6b21\u7684\u7406\u7531\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                  \uff083\uff09\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u63a8\u8a08\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u306e\u4e3b\u306a\u7406\u7531\uff1a\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4f4e\u4e0b\u306e\u505c\u6ede<\/h4>\n
                    \n
                  1. \u5730\u57df\u7684\u306b\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306e2050\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u306f\u3001\u300c98\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u306b\u6bd4\u3079\u308b\u3068\u300c2015\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3067\u306f7.11\u5104\u4eba\u591a\u3044\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u306e2050\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u5024\u306e\u4e21\u8005\u306e\u5dee\uff088.67\u5104\u4eba\uff09\u306e82%\u306b\u76f8\u5f53\u3059\u308b\uff08\u63db\u8a00\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u306e\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u306f\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u4eba\u53e3\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u3067\u8aac\u660e\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\uff09\u3002<\/li>\n
                  2. \u3057\u304b\u308b\u306b\u3001\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3082\u3001\u300c98\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u3068\u300c2015\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u306e\u4eba\u53e3\u52d5\u614b\u306e\u4eee\u5b9a\u5024\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u30822.1\u5e74\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u5e45\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\uff08\u305f\u3068\u3048\u3070\u30012020~25\u5e74\u306eTFR\u306f\u300c98\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u306e3.10\u304b\u3089\u300c2015\u5e74\u63a8\u8a08\u300d\u306e4.14\u306b\u307b\u307c\u5b50\u3069\u30821\u4eba\u5206\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\uff09\u3002<\/li>\n
                  3. \u4ee5\u4e0a\u304b\u3089\u3001\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4f4e\u4e0b\u304c2000\u5e74\u4ee3\u30012010\u5e74\u4ee3\u306b\u505c\u6ede\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u4eba\u53e3\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u306e\u4e3b\u306a\u7406\u7531\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u308b\uff08\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u6539\u5584\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u306f\u526f\u6b21\u7684\u7406\u7531\uff09\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                    \uff084\uff09\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4f4e\u4e0b\u505c\u6ede\u306e\u7406\u7531\uff1a<\/h4>\n

                    \u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4f4e\u4e0b\u304c\u505c\u6ede\u3057\u305f\u7406\u7531\u306f\u3001\u907f\u598a\u666e\u53ca\u306e\u9045\u308c\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002
                    \n\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u907f\u598a\u5b9f\u884c\u7387\u306f1990\uff5e2015\u5e74\u306b13%\u304b\u308928%\u306b\u3057\u304b\u4f38\u3073\u305a\u3001\u30a2\u30f3\u30e1\u30c3\u30c8\u30cb\u30fc\u30ba\uff08\u518d\u751f\u7523\u5e74\u9f62\u65e2\u5a5a\u5973\u6027\u306e\u3046\u3061\u907f\u598a\u5b9f\u884c\u8005\u306e\u5272\u5408\u3068\u5bb6\u65cf\u8a08\u753b\u3092\u5e0c\u671b\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u5b9f\u884c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u5973\u6027\u306e\u5272\u5408\uff09\u306f\u306a\u304a28%\u3068\u9ad8\u3044\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

                    \u907f\u598a\u5b9f\u884c\u7387\u3068\u30a2\u30f3\u30e1\u30c3\u30c8\u30cb\u30fc\u30ba\u304c\u30b5\u30cf\u30e9\u4ee5\u5357\u306e\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u3067\u306f\u30011990~2015\u5e74\u306b\u907f\u598a\u5b9f\u884c\u7387\u306f13%\u304b\u308928%\u306b\u3057\u304b\u4f38\u3073\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3002\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u3001\u30a2\u30f3\u30e1\u30c3\u30c8\u30cb\u30fc\u30ba\u306f\u306a\u304a24%\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

                    \u56fd\u969b\u8cc7\u91d1\u63f4\u52a9\u306e\u91cd\u70b9\u304c\u5bb6\u65cf\u8a08\u753b\u304b\u3089\u30a8\u30a4\u30ba\u963b\u6b62\u306b\u30b7\u30d5\u30c8<\/h5>\n

                    \u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u5bb6\u65cf\u8a08\u753b\u666e\u53ca\u306e\u9045\u308c\u306f\u30011990\u5e74\u4ee3\u534a\u3070\u4ee5\u964d\u306b\u3001<\/p>\n

                      \n
                    1. \u4fdd\u5065\u5206\u91ce\u306e\u56fd\u969b\u7684\u8cc7\u91d1\u63f4\u52a9\u304c\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306e\u4e88\u9632\u30fb\u6cbb\u7642\uff08\u3068\u308a\u308f\u3051HIV \/\u30a8\u30a4\u30ba\u306e\u611f\u67d3\u62e1\u5927\u9632\u6b62\uff09\u306b\u96c6\u4e2d\u3057\u3001\u4ed6\u5206\u91ce\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u304c\u4e0d\u8db3\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3001<\/li>\n
                    2. \u30ea\u30d7\u30ed\u30fb\u30d8\u30eb\u30b9\u5206\u91ce\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u5bb6\u65cf\u8a08\u753b\u4ee5\u5916\u306e\u5206\u91ce\u3067\u306f\u63f4\u52a9\u304c\u5897\u52a0\u3057\u305f\u306e\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3001\u5bb6\u65cf\u8a08\u753b\u5206\u91ce\u306e\u56fd\u969b\u8cc7\u91d1\u63f4\u52a9\u306f\u9006\u306b\u6e1b\u5c11\u50be\u5411\u3092\u8fbf\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3068\u8a00\u308f\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
                      \u56f3\u886817\uff0e1990\u5e74\u4ee3\u534a\u3070\u4ee5\u964d\u3001\u5bb6\u65cf\u8a08\u753b\u3078\u306e\u56fd\u969b\u7684\u8cc7\u91d1\u63f4\u52a9\u306f3\u5206\u306e1\u306b\u4f4e\u4e0b
                      \n\u3000\u3000\u3000\u3000\uff081995\uff5e2007\u5e74\u306b9\u51048\u5343\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u304b\u30893\u51044\u5343\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u4f4e\u4e0b\uff09<\/h5>\n

                      \"\"<\/p>\n

                      \u51fa\u5178\uff1aPopulation Council (Bongaarts,J. et al.) , Family Planning in the 21st Century<\/a>, \u306eFigure1.1 (p.4)<\/p>\n

                      HIV\/\u30a8\u30a4\u30ba\u306e\u62e1\u5927\u963b\u6b62<\/h6>\n

                      \u3053\u306e\u6642\u671f\u306b\u3001\u56fd\u969b\u7684\u306a\u8cc7\u91d1\u5354\u529b\u306e\u6025\u62e1\u5927\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308bHIV\/ \u30a8\u30a4\u30ba\u306e\u65b0\u898f\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6570\u306e\u5897\u52a0\u306f\u6b62\u307e\u308a\u3001\u611f\u67d3\u62e1\u5927\u306f\u9632\u6b62\u3055\u308c\u3064\u3064\u3042\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u308f\u308c\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3053\u3068\u304c\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u5bff\u547d\u6539\u5584\u4eee\u5b9a\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u306e\u5927\u304d\u306a\u7406\u7531\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

                      \u8b1b\u6f14\u5f8c\u3001\u53c2\u52a0\u8005\u305f\u3061\u3068\u306e\u610f\u898b\u4ea4\u63db\u304c\u884c\u308f\u308c\u305f\u3002<\/h3>\n

                      \u767a\u8a00\u306e\u4e2d\u306e\u30ad\u30fc\u30ef\u30fc\u30c9\u306e\u4e3b\u306a\u3082\u306e\u306f\u3001\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u3068\u304a\u308a\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

                      \u2460\u4eba\u53e3\u5897\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u300c\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u6642\u4ee3\u300d\u304c\u304f\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3001\u2461\u4eba\u53e3\u5897\u306e\u30d5\u30ed\u30f3\u30c6\u30a3\u30a2\u3001\u2462\u63a8\u8a08\u306f\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3001\u2463\u4eba\u53e3\u306f\u3001\u958b\u767a\u3001\u74b0\u5883\u3001\u98df\u7ce7\u3001\u8cc7\u6e90\u306a\u3069\u3068\u306e\u95a2\u9023\u3067\u3001\u9577\u3044\u30b9\u30d1\u30f3\u3067\u8003\u3048\u308b\u57fa\u672c\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3001\u2464\u65e5\u672c\u306f\u9ad8\u9f62\u5316\u306e\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u30e9\u30f3\u30ca\u30fc\u3001\u2465\u5148\u9032\u56fd\u306e\u4eba\u53e3\u6e1b\u5c11\u3068\u79fb\u6c11<\/p>\n

                      \u6587\u8cac\uff1a\u7de8\u96c6\u90e8\u3000\u00a9\u4eba\u53e3\u554f\u984c\u5354\u8b70\u4f1a\u660e\u77f3\u7814\u7a76\u4f1a
                      \n\u672c\u7a3f\u306e\u8ee2\u8f09\u30fb\u5f15\u7528\u306b\u3064\u304d\u307e\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u4e8b\u524d\u306b\u660e\u77f3\u7814\u7a76\u4f1a\u4e8b\u52d9\u5c40\u5b9b\u3066\u3054\u4e00\u5831\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3088\u3046\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002
                      \n\u307e\u305f\u3001\u63b2\u8f09\u5f8c\u306f\u3001\u8a72\u5f53\u90e8\u5206\u3092PDF\u306b\u3066\u3054\u9001\u4ed8\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002
                      \n\uff08\u9001\u4ed8\u5148\uff1a                      info2@joicfp.or.jp<\/a>\uff09<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

                      \u524d\u7de8\u3078<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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