60 Years after the end of World
War II
Population Trends in Japan
- Prelude from the Great Transition to a New Challenge

Already 60 years have passed since the end of World War II.
In a sense, Japan has reached the age of retirement from postwar
efforts. As a defeated nation, Japan's demographic development
was remarkable, presenting a spearheading experience that
could be a prelude to a new population transition.
Japan experienced a massive birth boom in the miserable plight
of postwar days, and these baby boomers would later be termed
a "mass generation." However, fertility in Japan
was startlingly halved within a decade. The remarkable fertility
decline in war-defeated Japan was often cited as a miracle
with no comparable record in the history of countries in the
western cultural sphere. This outstanding fertility decline
was significant in that it presented the need for reviewing
western-oriented population transition theories, and in that
it suggested the potential for non-western-style population
transition.
Following Japan, fertility decline in the process of population
transition has occurred in Taiwan, China and other countries
in East Asia with cultural similarity and geographic proximity
to Japan. Further, the same phenomenon has spread rapidly
to other countries in culturally diverse Asia such as Thailand,
Iran and Mongolia. Fertility transition outside the western
cultural sphere can be understood as a process of the spread
of the experience originating in Japan.
Notable international contributions that Japan can make are
in the field of mortality reduction and the prolongation of
life expectancy. The most remarkable mortality reduction is
in infant mortality. The infant mortality rate in Japan right
after the war was between 60 and 70 per 1,000 live births,
but now it is only 3 per 1,000 live births. Japan's experience
in achieving the world's lowest infant mortality and longest
average life expectancy will contribute to the upgrading and
maintaining of world health standards, particularly in developing
countries. Ensuring health as the basis for a higher quality
life is the basic asset common to all human beings and the
source for socio-economic development.
Now human beings are approaching a crucial stage of survival.
We should bear in mind that the first half of the 21st century
is a challenging age in which we need to build a global community
with a stable population structure with a small number of
children and a large number of the elderly.
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